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WeatherJuly 16, 2026

2026 hurricane season: NOAA forecasts below-normal activity — but prepare anyway

NOAA forecasts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season — a 55% chance it runs quieter than usual. 1

The numbers

  • 8 to 14 named storms.
  • Of those, 3 to 6 hurricanes.
  • And 1 to 3 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5). 1

Why quieter

El Niño is expected to develop and strengthen, which tends to suppress storm formation — though Atlantic waters remain slightly warmer than normal. 1

It only takes one

Even in calm years, a single storm changes everything. Review your plan now: build a kit (water, non-perishable food, flashlight, batteries, first aid, meds, documents), have a family plan, and charge devices before any warning. Season runs through November 30. 1

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Reported by the CoquiList Newsroom · Facts backed by the sources cited above

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